Moreton City Excelsior vs Northern Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
FNQ
44%
21%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WES
1 - 0
MOR
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
SUN
72%
15%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
OLY
49%
20%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
SWQ
76%
13%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
NOF
1 - 6
BRI
8%
13%
80%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
RED
2 - 1
NOF
92%
6%
2%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
NOF
1 - 3
BRR
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
BRI
0 - 0
NOF
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 0
NOF
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |