Moreton City Excelsior vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
68.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
QUE
49%
23%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
4 - 3
PEN
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
PER
18%
19%
63%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 3
MOR
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 3
PEN
52%
22%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NWS
0 - 4
MEL
5%
10%
85%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALM
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 4
MEL
7%
15%
78%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CCM
3 - 1
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 2
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |