Moreton City Excelsior vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
OLY
5 - 2
MOR
66%
19%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 2
GCK
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 2
MOR
22%
20%
57%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MOR
6 - 0
GOL
36%
21%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +3 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
BRR
2 - 3
MOR
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
GCK
2 - 2
LOG
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 4
QUE
7%
13%
80%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
LOG
1 - 4
OLY
9%
14%
77%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
GOL
0 - 1
LOG
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 0
BRR
27%
21%
51%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |