Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 4
MOR
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
GCK
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 1
MOR
38%
22%
40%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 0
OLY
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
QUE
25%
23%
53%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gold Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 2
PEN
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 3
GOL
20%
21%
60%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BRR
1 - 0
GOL
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 2
GCK
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 0
BRI
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |