Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
BRR
2 - 3
MOR
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 1
EAS
60%
19%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 2
MOR
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 3
QUE
16%
20%
65%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
MOR
70%
17%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Gold Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GOL
5 - 1
OLY
17%
20%
63%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 3
GOL
27%
21%
52%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BRR
1 - 2
GOL
45%
21%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GCK
1 - 0
GOL
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
GOL
6 - 1
BRR
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |