Morella vs Benicense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 2
MOR
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
PEN
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
BOR
1 - 0
MOR
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 2
MOR
64%
19%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Benicense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
BOR
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
BEN
32%
21%
48%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 3
ALC
27%
23%
51%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
BEN
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 4
PEN
29%
22%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |