Morell vs At. Vilafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
79.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
MOR
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 3
FCA
14%
21%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SIT
1 - 1
MOR
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 5
UES
12%
20%
68%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
MOR
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
At. Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
GOR
50%
22%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CEE
3 - 3
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
SJU
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CFV
0 - 3
VIL
72%
17%
12%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 0
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |