Morell vs Sarrià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PRT
2 - 0
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
MAR
22%
23%
55%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 0
CAN
11%
17%
73%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Sarrià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
GOR
10%
15%
75%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 5
CEE
27%
22%
52%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SJU
3 - 1
SAR
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
CFV
9%
16%
75%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 2
TTE
33%
22%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |