Morell vs At. Sant Just analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
73.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CFV
2 - 1
MOR
82%
13%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
SAR
57%
22%
21%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PRT
2 - 0
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
MAR
22%
23%
55%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
At. Sant Just
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SJU
5 - 0
GOR
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEE
0 - 0
SJU
15%
18%
68%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 0
TTE
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CFV
2 - 2
SJU
50%
22%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SJU
3 - 1
SAR
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | +1 |