CA Morelia vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ATS
3 - 1
MOR
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
LEO
3 - 0
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
QRO
0 - 0
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 0
TIJ
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 3
CAÑ
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
CAÑ
1 - 3
LEO
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAÑ
3 - 1
MER
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAÑ
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 1
CAÑ
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |