CA Morelia vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 1
MOR
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
PUM
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
MOR
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
CIM
0 - 1
MOR
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 1
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
VER
0 - 5
QRO
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
VER
1 - 2
AUR
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
PUM
2 - 0
VER
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
VER
1 - 2
ATS
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
NEC
7 - 0
VER
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |