CA Morelia vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 3
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
VER
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
VER
2 - 0
DOR
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
UAT
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
VER
66%
21%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VER
0 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |