CA Morelia vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
CAZ
0 - 2
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
0 - 3
PUM
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PUE
4 - 2
MOR
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
VER
3 - 1
PAC
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 0
VER
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
VER
0 - 3
ATL
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 0
VER
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
VER
3 - 1
SNL
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |