CA Morelia vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
23.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
TEM
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
MOR
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
ATL
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
ALE
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
UDG
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
UDG
2 - 1
TIA
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 4
UDG
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 0
UDG
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
UDG
3 - 2
ZAC
51%
23%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |