CA Morelia vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MOR
4 - 4
UAP
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
CAZ
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TIJ
2 - 3
MOR
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
TIG
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 2
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
AME
3 - 2
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LOB
2 - 0
TOL
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
61%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |