CA Morelia vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 2
MOR
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
AME
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
CAÑ
66%
19%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ATS
3 - 1
MOR
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
VER
68%
19%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PAC
0 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |