CA Morelia vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 2
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
QRO
2 - 0
MOR
39%
26%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
MON
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAZ
3 - 1
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
VER
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 0
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIG
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
JAG
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 1
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |