CA Morelia vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 3
MOR
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 3
MOR
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 0
CAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
CAZ
4 - 2
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
PAC
49%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
SNL
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 2
BOC
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |