CA Morelia vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
JAG
2 - 1
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
MOR
5 - 0
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ATS
2 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 0
TIG
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
SNL
1 - 2
MOR
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
CIE
1 - 2
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
EST
0 - 0
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
QRO
0 - 0
TOL
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |