CA Morelia vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
MOR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
ATS
59%
21%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 2
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
PAC
1 - 3
MOR
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 2
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
TOL
41%
27%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
CAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
31%
27%
41%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
SNL
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |