CA Morelia vs Tlaxcala FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
13º
11º
14
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 1
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZAC
35%
26%
40%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
UAT
3 - 0
MOR
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
UDG
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 0
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tlaxcala FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TIA
1 - 1
MER
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
TIA
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 0
TIA
44%
25%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TIA
2 - 1
ALE
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
5 - 2
TIA
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |