CA Morelia vs Tlaxcala FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
TAM
1 - 1
MOR
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
SPT
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
TEM
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 1
MOR
18%
26%
56%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tlaxcala FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
TIA
3 - 1
CFC
36%
29%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 0
TIA
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
CIM
3 - 0
TIA
60%
24%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
TIA
1 - 1
SPT
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
RYD
4 - 1
TIA
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |