CA Morelia vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MOR
52%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 0
JAG
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 1
TIJ
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TIJ
0 - 0
SNL
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
TIJ
2 - 0
JAG
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
TIJ
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TIJ
3 - 2
PAC
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |