Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
CA Morelia vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2005 |
TIG
3 - 2
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2005 |
PUM
0 - 2
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MOR
4 - 2
CHI
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
EST
2 - 0
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2005 |
TIG
3 - 2
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
PUE
0 - 3
TIG
30%
25%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
TIG
0 - 0
ALI
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
TIG
3 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2005 |
AME
1 - 1
TIG
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |