Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
CA Morelia vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
PUM
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 2
MOR
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SNL
4 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
39%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
MON
2 - 1
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
PUM
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |