CA Morelia vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
AME
2 - 3
MOR
53%
24%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 2
DOR
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ATS
3 - 3
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
TIG
3 - 0
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
NEC
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MON
1 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 2
JAG
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
EST
1 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |