CA Morelia vs San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PUM
3 - 0
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
TIJ
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MOR
52%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
SNL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 0
PUM
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SNL
5 - 1
TOL
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TIJ
0 - 0
SNL
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
SNL
2 - 1
QRO
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |