CA Morelia vs San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 1
MOR
44%
25%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 6
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 2
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
VER
0 - 1
MOR
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
SNL
1 - 4
PAC
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
JAG
4 - 2
SNL
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SNL
0 - 0
ATL
30%
27%
44%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
SNL
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
IRA
3 - 1
SNL
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |