CA Morelia vs San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 0
MOR
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 1
PAC
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
TIG
2 - 1
MOR
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 0
EST
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 3
MOR
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
SNL
2 - 2
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 2
SNL
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SNL
1 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SNL
1 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 1
SNL
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |