CA Morelia vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 1
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 1
MOR
29%
26%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 2
PAC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 3
EST
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 0
MOR
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 0
MON
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 1
MOR
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
QRO
0 - 0
ATS
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
VER
0 - 1
QRO
46%
25%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
QRO
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |