CA Morelia vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
IRA
1 - 1
MOR
17%
24%
60%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
MOR
0 - 0
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
MON
3 - 1
MOR
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 0
AUR
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
QRO
0 - 0
PAC
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
QRO
0 - 2
CHI
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
PAC
3 - 1
QRO
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
QRO
0 - 2
TIG
33%
26%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
QRO
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |