CA Morelia vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PUE
4 - 2
MOR
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 1
MOR
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PUM
1 - 2
PAC
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
JAG
2 - 5
PUM
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PUM
1 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 0
PUM
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
PUM
0 - 0
SNL
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |