CA Morelia vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2002 |
SPC
0 - 1
MOR
23%
23%
54%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
SAN
4 - 3
MOR
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 2
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 2
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 2
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
PUE
1 - 2
PUM
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
ATL
3 - 3
PUE
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 2
CAZ
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 0
PUE
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 4
REB
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |