CA Morelia vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UDG
1 - 2
MOR
22%
27%
51%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 0
PUE
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 3
PUM
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 1
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 1
MOR
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 3
TIG
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
PAC
4 - 1
MUN
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AME
2 - 1
PAC
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 1
TIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 2
PAC
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |