Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
CA Morelia vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
VER
1 - 1
MOR
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
MOR
1 - 0
SNL
62%
21%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 0
MOR
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 0
CHI
42%
25%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
MOR
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CAZ
3 - 2
PAC
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PAC
0 - 0
VER
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SNL
2 - 3
PAC
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PAC
4 - 1
NEC
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAC
43%
25%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |