CA Morelia vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 1
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 3
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
6 - 0
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 1
SNL
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 1
MOR
44%
25%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
PAC
1 - 1
IRA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAC
3 - 3
JAG
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ATL
3 - 2
PAC
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PAC
2 - 2
SAN
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
SNL
1 - 4
PAC
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |