Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 8-2
CA Morelia vs CD Olmedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 1
PAC
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
OLM
0 - 5
MOR
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
AME
1 - 1
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 3
ATL
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
5 - 2
PUE
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
OLM
0 - 3
CUE
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
OLM
0 - 5
MOR
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 0
OLM
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
OLM
0 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
OLM
0 - 1
EME
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |