CA Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
QRO
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
TIJ
2 - 0
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LEO
4 - 1
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
LEO
39%
25%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
VER
1 - 2
MOR
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MER
1 - 3
ALE
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 0
MUR
74%
16%
11%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 0
TOR
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAF
3 - 1
ALE
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |