CA Morelia vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
ATS
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
TIG
3 - 1
MOR
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
MOR
4 - 1
TIG
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PUE
3 - 1
MOR
25%
28%
47%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ZAC
2 - 0
NEC
43%
28%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
NEC
4 - 3
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
NEC
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
NEC
0 - 0
EST
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
NEC
4 - 1
DEL
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |