CA Morelia vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MON
2 - 1
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 1
JAG
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 3
MOR
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
AME
2 - 3
MOR
53%
24%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
NEC
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
NEC
2 - 3
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 2
NEC
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 2
PUE
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
NEC
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |