CA Morelia vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 1
MOR
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 0
MOR
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 2
QRO
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
IRA
1 - 1
MOR
17%
24%
60%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 1
PAC
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 1
NEC
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
NEC
2 - 0
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
NEC
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 1
SNL
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |