CA Morelia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 2
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 2
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 1
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
SAP
1 - 1
MOR
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
TOR
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
CER
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
NAC
3 - 1
CSY
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
TAC
1 - 3
NAC
29%
26%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
SPC
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
PAY
0 - 2
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |