CA Morelia vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
TIG
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 1
MOR
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 2
JAG
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
MOR
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
MUR
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
UAT
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALE
4 - 1
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
LOR
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALE
17%
21%
62%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |