CA Morelia vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PUE
4 - 0
MOR
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MOR
0 - 1
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
AME
0 - 1
MOR
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 0
MOR
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CHI
6 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
JAG
2 - 0
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PUM
4 - 1
JAG
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 0
NEC
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 1
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
MON
0 - 0
JAG
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |