CA Morelia vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 3
MOR
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
AME
2 - 3
MOR
53%
24%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 2
DOR
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ATS
3 - 3
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 2
NEC
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MON
5 - 1
JAG
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
JAG
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
JAG
1 - 1
PUE
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 2
JAG
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |