CA Morelia vs Chiapas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 2
MOR
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 4
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
SNL
0 - 1
MOR
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 1
ATS
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
AME
1 - 0
MOR
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chiapas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
JAG
0 - 2
PAC
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
JAG
2 - 2
IRA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ATL
3 - 0
JAG
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 1
SAN
27%
27%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
SNL
1 - 2
JAG
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |