CA Morelia vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
AME
1 - 1
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
PUE
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
QRO
1 - 0
MOR
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
KCW
1 - 1
MOR
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
ATS
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
JAG
1 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 1
JAG
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
JAG
2 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SNL
0 - 1
JAG
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
JAG
1 - 1
CHI
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |