CA Morelia vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MON
2 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
MOR
4 - 4
CAZ
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
PAC
2 - 0
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
MOR
3 - 2
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 0
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
EST
2 - 1
CHI
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 0
PUM
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
QRO
1 - 1
CHI
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CHI
4 - 0
NEC
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |