CA Morelia vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
MON
0 - 3
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VER
1 - 0
MOR
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
JAG
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
ATS
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ATS
3 - 1
QRO
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 1
ATS
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 0
ATS
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ATS
1 - 2
CAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |