CA Morelia vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 3
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
ATS
1 - 1
MOR
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PUM
0 - 1
MOR
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 2
MOR
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
4 - 1
PAC
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ATS
3 - 3
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
ATS
1 - 1
MOR
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
JAG
3 - 0
ATS
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ATS
2 - 2
SAN
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
ATS
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |